Europa League · League phase MD6
NK Celje
NKC
Olympiacos
OLY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NK Celje34%
Draw28%
Olympiacos38%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.33
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.3%
- 1–09.7%
- 0–08.7%
- 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession52%
38%Territory36%
23%From set plays31%
0.12Chance quality0.08
5.0%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for NK Celje, 2 for Olympiacos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.