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Europa League · League phase MD6

NK Celje

NKC

Olympiacos

OLY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

NK Celje36%
Draw27%
Olympiacos37%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.44

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.9%
  • 018.5%
  • 108.5%
  • 128.3%
  • 218.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

44%Possession58%
36%Territory54%
0%From set plays59%
0.18Chance quality0.11
5.4%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for NK Celje, 1 for Olympiacos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

NK Celje

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.