Europa League · League phase MD8
Sunderland
SUN
Levski Sofia
LES
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sunderland48%
Draw26%
Levski Sofia26%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.16
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.8%
- 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
59%Possession50%
57%Territory21%
25%From set plays3%
0.10Chance quality0.17
3.1%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sunderland, 2 for Levski Sofia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.