Europa League · League phase MD5
Sunderland
SUN
Jagiellonia Białystok
JAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sunderland49%
Draw26%
Jagiellonia Białystok25%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.15
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.0%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
59%Possession42%
57%Territory25%
25%From set plays7%
0.10Chance quality0.11
3.1%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sunderland, 2 for Jagiellonia Białystok. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Jagiellonia Białystok
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.