Europa League · League phase MD4
Sunderland
SUN
Dinamo Zagreb
DIN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sunderland39%
Draw27%
Dinamo Zagreb34%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.38
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
59%Possession52%
57%Territory35%
25%From set plays3%
0.10Chance quality0.16
3.1%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sunderland, 2 for Dinamo Zagreb. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.