Europa League · League phase MD4
Sunderland
SUN
Dinamo Zagreb
DIN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sunderland37%
Draw28%
Dinamo Zagreb35%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.34
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–09.4%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession34%
25%Territory33%
39%From set plays3%
0.15Chance quality0.04
6.0%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Sunderland, 1 for Dinamo Zagreb. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sunderland
Dinamo Zagreb
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.