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Europa League · League phase MD8

AFC Bournemouth

AFC

Hapoel Beer Sheva

HAP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bournemouth42%
Draw27%
Hapoel Beer Sheva30%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.22

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.3%
  • 1010.4%
  • 218.9%
  • 018.5%
  • 007.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

38%Possession66%
34%Territory45%
22%From set plays36%
0.07Chance quality0.06
7.3%Directness1.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Bournemouth, 1 for Hapoel Beer Sheva. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Hapoel Beer Sheva

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.