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Europa League · League phase MD6

AFC Bournemouth

AFC

Viktoria Plzeň

VIK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bournemouth37%
Draw31%
Viktoria Plzeň33%

Expected goals

1.18 – 1.10

Over 2.5

39%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.4%
  • 1012.2%
  • 0011.7%
  • 0111.3%
  • 217.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

38%Possession49%
34%Territory36%
22%From set plays39%
0.07Chance quality0.08
7.3%Directness6.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Bournemouth, 1 for Viktoria Plzeň. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Viktoria Plzeň

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.