Europa League · League phase MD6
AFC Bournemouth
AFC
Viktoria Plzeň
VIK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bournemouth44%
Draw30%
Viktoria Plzeň26%
Expected goals
1.31 – 0.96
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.8%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–011.5%
- 0–19.8%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession49%
52%Territory38%
44%From set plays64%
0.14Chance quality0.09
6.0%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Bournemouth, 2 for Viktoria Plzeň. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Bournemouth
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.