Europa League · League phase MD4
Crystal Palace
CRY
Hoffenheim
HOF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Crystal Palace46%
Draw26%
Hoffenheim28%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.26
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.1%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession49%
38%Territory31%
26%From set plays46%
0.09Chance quality0.09
4.4%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Crystal Palace, 2 for Hoffenheim. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.