Europa League · League phase MD4
Crystal Palace
CRY
Hoffenheim
HOF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Crystal Palace47%
Draw26%
Hoffenheim27%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.24
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.3%
- 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession67%
47%Territory51%
6%From set plays19%
0.13Chance quality0.07
3.9%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Crystal Palace, 1 for Hoffenheim. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Crystal Palace
Hoffenheim
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.