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Europa League · League phase MD1

· Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace

CRY

47'Live, 47'

Lech Poznań

LEC

Timeline

How it happened

  1. Yéremi Pino10'Goal for Crystal Palace at 10 minutes: Yéremi Pino
  2. Chris Richardsassist by Adam Wharton27'Goal for Crystal Palace at 27 minutes: Chris Richards assist by Adam Wharton
  3. Jørgen Strand Larsen (pen)34'Penalty for Crystal Palace at 34 minutes: Jørgen Strand Larsen (pen)

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Crystal Palace43%
Draw27%
Lech Poznań31%

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.30

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.8%
  • 109.4%
  • 219.0%
  • 017.7%
  • 127.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

Crystal Palace3-4-3Starting shape4-2-3-1Lech Poznań
49%Possession51%
40%Territory44%
9%From set plays15%
0.20Chance quality0.10
2.9%Directness3.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Crystal Palace, 1 for Lech Poznań. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.

The xG race15 shots
Cumulative expected goalsCrystal Palace 1.64 xG, Lech Poznań 0.67 xG over 90 minutes
  • Crystal Palace1.64
  • Lech Poznań0.67
Final score
Show data
Shots with expected-goal values
MinTeamxGOutcome
2'Lech Poznań0.20off target
3'Lech Poznań0.05saved
4'Crystal Palace0.05off target
5'Crystal Palace0.06blocked
10'Crystal Palace0.62goal
15'Crystal Palace0.01off target
18'Lech Poznań0.15blocked
21'Lech Poznań0.15off target
23'Lech Poznań0.03off target
25'Lech Poznań0.06off target
27'Crystal Palace0.06goal
29'Crystal Palace0.03blocked
29'Crystal Palace0.02saved
31'Lech Poznań0.03blocked
34'Crystal Palace0.79goal
Shot map3 scored
Shot map
  • Crystal Palace (3/8)
  • Lech Poznań (0/7)

Marker area is expected-goal value. Filled markers are goals; outlines are attempts that did not score.

Show data
Every shot with location and expected-goal value
MinTeamxGBodySituationOutcome
2'Lech Poznań0.20left footopen playoff target
3'Lech Poznań0.05right footopen playsaved
4'Crystal Palace0.05right footopen playoff target
5'Crystal Palace0.06right footopen playblocked
10'Crystal Palace0.62right footopen playgoal
15'Crystal Palace0.01right footopen playoff target
18'Lech Poznań0.15right footopen playblocked
21'Lech Poznań0.15right footopen playoff target
23'Lech Poznań0.03right footopen playoff target
25'Lech Poznań0.06left footcorneroff target
27'Crystal Palace0.06headcornergoal
29'Crystal Palace0.03right footopen playblocked
29'Crystal Palace0.02headcornersaved
31'Lech Poznań0.03left footset pieceblocked
34'Crystal Palace0.79right footpenaltygoal
MomentumWho was on top, minute by minute
Match momentumPressure through the match. Bars above the line favour Crystal Palace, below favour Lech Poznań.
  • Crystal Palace pressure
  • Lech Poznań pressure
Line-ups43 players
Head to headPossession, shots, discipline
Crystal PalaceLech Poznań
1.64Expected goals0.67
49Possession %51
8Shots7
4On target1
2Big chances2
4Corners2
241Passes258
88Pass accuracy %85
40.2Field tilt %est.44.2
7Fouls4
0Yellow cards0