Europa League · League phase MD7
Crystal Palace
CRY
Sparta Prague
SPA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Crystal Palace43%
Draw25%
Sparta Prague32%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.44
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–07.9%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession59%
47%Territory41%
6%From set plays42%
0.13Chance quality0.11
3.9%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Crystal Palace, 1 for Sparta Prague. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Crystal Palace
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.