Europa League · League phase MD7
Crystal Palace
CRY
Sparta Prague
SPA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Crystal Palace44%
Draw27%
Sparta Prague29%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.20
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.1%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession46%
38%Territory39%
26%From set plays32%
0.09Chance quality0.06
4.4%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Crystal Palace, 2 for Sparta Prague. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.