Europa League · League phase MD5
Crystal Palace
CRY
Real Sociedad
RSO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Crystal Palace42%
Draw26%
Real Sociedad32%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.37
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–08.8%
- 1–27.6%
- 0–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession56%
38%Territory40%
26%From set plays3%
0.09Chance quality0.14
4.4%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Crystal Palace, 2 for Real Sociedad. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.