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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Europa League · League phase MD5

Crystal Palace

CRY

Real Sociedad

RSO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Crystal Palace47%
Draw26%
Real Sociedad28%

Expected goals

1.68 – 1.26

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–07.2%
  • 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

53%Possession62%
47%Territory38%
6%From set plays57%
0.13Chance quality0.09
3.9%Directness3.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Crystal Palace, 1 for Real Sociedad. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.