Europa League · League phase MD7
Lech Poznań
LEC
Torreense
TOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lech Poznań38%
Draw26%
Torreense35%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.45
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–08.3%
- 1–28.1%
- 0–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession41%
21%Territory23%
9%From set plays13%
0.11Chance quality0.05
4.3%Directness10.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lech Poznań, 2 for Torreense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lech Poznań
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.