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Europa League · League phase MD7

Lech Poznań

LEC

Torreense

TOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Lech Poznań39%
Draw26%
Torreense34%

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.42

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.6%
  • 218.6%
  • 108.4%
  • 127.9%
  • 017.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

47%Possession33%
44%Territory32%
9%From set plays4%
0.07Chance quality0.13
4.3%Directness9.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Lech Poznań, 1 for Torreense. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Lech Poznań

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.