Europa League · League phase MD6
Lech Poznań
LEC
Ferencváros
FER
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lech Poznań25%
Draw25%
Ferencváros49%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.69
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–27.8%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
47%Possession37%
44%Territory42%
9%From set plays22%
0.07Chance quality0.07
4.3%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Lech Poznań, 1 for Ferencváros. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lech Poznań
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.