Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Europa League · League phase MD6

Lech Poznań

LEC

Ferencváros

FER

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Lech Poznań19%
Draw22%
Ferencváros59%

Expected goals

1.15 – 2.10

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.9%
  • 1–19.5%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 0–28.6%
  • 1–36.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

41%Possession56%
21%Territory42%
9%From set plays27%
0.11Chance quality0.17
4.3%Directness4.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lech Poznań, 2 for Ferencváros. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.