Europa League · League phase MD2
Lech Poznań
LEC
Bayer Leverkusen
LEV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lech Poznań37%
Draw27%
Leverkusen37%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.45
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–18.4%
- 1–08.4%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
47%Possession56%
44%Territory44%
9%From set plays12%
0.07Chance quality0.14
4.3%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Lech Poznań, 1 for Leverkusen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lech Poznań
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.