Europa League · League phase MD7
Sturm Graz
STU
OFI Crete
OFI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sturm Graz30%
Draw30%
OFI Crete39%
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.23
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 0–112.6%
- 0–011.4%
- 1–010.7%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
38%Possession33%
26%Territory17%
37%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.13
6.3%Directness10.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Sturm Graz, 1 for OFI Crete. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sturm Graz
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.