Europa League · League phase MD7
Sturm Graz
STU
OFI Crete
OFI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sturm Graz36%
Draw32%
OFI Crete32%
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.03
Over 2.5
36%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.6%
- 0–013.3%
- 1–013.2%
- 0–112.0%
- 2–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
33%Possession35%
34%Territory23%
17%From set plays10%
0.10Chance quality0.04
6.9%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sturm Graz, 2 for OFI Crete. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sturm Graz
OFI Crete
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.