Europa League · League phase MD4
Sturm Graz
STU
NK Celje
NKC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sturm Graz33%
Draw31%
NK Celje36%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.17
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.4%
- 0–112.0%
- 0–011.6%
- 1–011.4%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
38%Possession44%
26%Territory36%
37%From set plays0%
0.07Chance quality0.18
6.3%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Sturm Graz, 1 for NK Celje. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.