Europa League · League phase MD6
Anderlecht
AND
Hoffenheim
HOF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Anderlecht43%
Draw26%
Hoffenheim31%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.29
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–27.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession67%
34%Territory51%
44%From set plays19%
0.13Chance quality0.07
5.9%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Anderlecht, 1 for Hoffenheim. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hoffenheim
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.