Europa League · League phase MD6
Anderlecht
AND
Hoffenheim
HOF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Anderlecht45%
Draw27%
Hoffenheim29%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.22
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.7%
- 2–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession49%
48%Territory31%
8%From set plays46%
0.09Chance quality0.09
4.2%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Anderlecht, 2 for Hoffenheim. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.