Europa League · League phase MD7
Anderlecht
AND
Sunderland
SUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Anderlecht40%
Draw26%
Sunderland33%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.39
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession45%
34%Territory25%
44%From set plays39%
0.13Chance quality0.15
5.9%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Anderlecht, 1 for Sunderland. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sunderland
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.