Europa League · League phase MD7
Anderlecht
AND
Sunderland
SUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Anderlecht37%
Draw28%
Sunderland35%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.34
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.4%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession59%
48%Territory57%
8%From set plays25%
0.09Chance quality0.10
4.2%Directness3.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Anderlecht, 2 for Sunderland. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.