Europa League · League phase MD4
Anderlecht
AND
Salzburg
SAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Anderlecht40%
Draw25%
Salzburg35%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.57
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.8%
- 1–06.9%
- 2–26.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession50%
34%Territory31%
44%From set plays6%
0.13Chance quality0.12
5.9%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Anderlecht, 1 for Salzburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Salzburg
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.