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Europa League · League phase MD6

Rennes

REN

Dinamo Zagreb

DIN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rennes35%
Draw28%
Dinamo Zagreb37%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.38

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

57%Possession52%
50%Territory35%
31%From set plays3%
0.08Chance quality0.16
5.0%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Rennes, 2 for Dinamo Zagreb. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.