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Europa League · League phase MD4

Rennes

REN

Olympiacos

OLY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rennes41%
Draw27%
Olympiacos33%

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.33

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.0%
  • 109.3%
  • 218.8%
  • 018.1%
  • 127.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

62%Possession58%
34%Territory54%
21%From set plays59%
0.08Chance quality0.11
4.9%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Rennes, 1 for Olympiacos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Rennes

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.