Europa League · League phase MD4
Rennes
REN
Olympiacos
OLY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rennes41%
Draw28%
Olympiacos31%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.17
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.1%
- 0–19.3%
- 0–09.0%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession52%
50%Territory36%
31%From set plays31%
0.08Chance quality0.08
5.0%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Rennes, 2 for Olympiacos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.