Europa League · League phase MD2
Sparta Prague
SPA
Lillestrøm
LIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sparta Prague48%
Draw24%
Lillestrøm28%
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.36
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–26.8%
- 2–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
59%Possession67%
41%Territory51%
42%From set plays38%
0.11Chance quality0.11
4.6%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Sparta Prague, 1 for Lillestrøm. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lillestrøm
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.