Europa League · League phase MD8
Sparta Prague
SPA
Rennes
REN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sparta Prague39%
Draw28%
Rennes33%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.24
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.4%
- 0–19.3%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession57%
39%Territory50%
32%From set plays31%
0.06Chance quality0.08
4.8%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sparta Prague, 2 for Rennes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.