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Europa League · League phase MD8

Sparta Prague

SPA

Rennes

REN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sparta Prague46%
Draw25%
Rennes28%

Expected goals

1.69 – 1.30

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.2%
  • 219.3%
  • 109.0%
  • 127.0%
  • 206.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

59%Possession62%
41%Territory34%
42%From set plays21%
0.11Chance quality0.08
4.6%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Sparta Prague, 1 for Rennes. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Rennes

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.