Europa League · League phase MD4
Celtic
CET
Beşiktaş
BEI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celtic43%
Draw24%
Beşiktaş33%
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.57
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–27.4%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession53%
33%Territory39%
9%From set plays29%
0.08Chance quality0.16
3.0%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Celtic, 2 for Beşiktaş. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.