Europa League · League phase MD4
Celtic
CET
Beşiktaş
BEI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celtic53%
Draw22%
Beşiktaş25%
Expected goals
2.06 – 1.41
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.4%
- 1–19.3%
- 1–07.0%
- 2–06.6%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession54%
37%Territory39%
28%From set plays4%
0.07Chance quality0.13
3.5%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Celtic, 1 for Beşiktaş. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.