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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Europa League · League phase MD1

· Celtic Park

Celtic

CEL

HTLive, HT

Ferencváros

FER

Timeline

How it happened

  1. 20'Bamidele Yusufassist by Kristoffer ZachariassenGoal for Ferencváros at 20 minutes: Bamidele Yusuf assist by Kristoffer Zachariassen
  2. Mika Baurassist by Kieran Tierney44'Goal for Celtic at 44 minutes: Mika Baur assist by Kieran Tierney
  3. 45+1'Kristoffer Zachariassenassist by Bamidele YusufGoal for Ferencváros at 45 minutes: Kristoffer Zachariassen assist by Bamidele Yusuf

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Celtic43%
Draw25%
Ferencváros33%

Expected goals

1.74 – 1.52

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

65%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.4%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 1–07.2%
  • 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

Celtic4-2-3-1Starting shape4-2-3-1Ferencváros
62%Possession38%
33%Territory40%
22%From set plays31%
0.07Chance quality0.06
3.4%Directness2.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Celtic, 1 for Ferencváros. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.

The xG race16 shots
Cumulative expected goalsCeltic 0.49 xG, Ferencváros 0.70 xG over 90 minutes
  • Celtic0.49
  • Ferencváros0.70
Final score —–—
Show data
Shots with expected-goal values
MinTeamxGOutcome
1'Celtic0.04blocked
4'Celtic0.08blocked
8'Celtic0.10off target
13'Celtic0.06saved
18'Ferencváros0.07off target
20'Ferencváros0.02goal
23'Ferencváros0.08saved
30'Ferencváros0.14saved
30'Ferencváros0.01off target
32'Celtic0.03blocked
38'Ferencváros0.02blocked
38'Ferencváros0.02blocked
42'Ferencváros0.17off target
43'Celtic0.02saved
44'Celtic0.15goal
46'Ferencváros0.16goal
Shot map3 scored
Shot map
  • Celtic (1/7)
  • Ferencváros (2/9)

Marker area is expected-goal value. Filled markers are goals; outlines are attempts that did not score.

Show data
Every shot with location and expected-goal value
MinTeamxGBodySituationOutcome
1'Celtic0.04left footopen playblocked
4'Celtic0.08right footcornerblocked
8'Celtic0.10left footopen playoff target
13'Celtic0.06left footopen playsaved
18'Ferencváros0.07headopen playoff target
20'Ferencváros0.02left footopen playgoal
23'Ferencváros0.08right footfast breaksaved
30'Ferencváros0.14right footopen playsaved
30'Ferencváros0.01left footopen playoff target
32'Celtic0.03left footcornerblocked
38'Ferencváros0.02right footopen playblocked
38'Ferencváros0.02right footopen playblocked
42'Ferencváros0.17right footcorneroff target
43'Celtic0.02left footfast breaksaved
44'Celtic0.15left footopen playgoal
46'Ferencváros0.16right footopen playgoal
MomentumWho was on top, minute by minute
Match momentumPressure through the match. Bars above the line favour Celtic, below favour Ferencváros.
  • Celtic pressure
  • Ferencváros pressure
Line-ups44 players

Celtic4-2-3-1

Substitutes

Ferencváros4-2-3-1

Substitutes

Head to headPossession, shots, discipline
CelticFerencváros
0.49Expected goals0.54
62Possession %38
7Shots9
3On target4
2Big chances1
6Corners2
294Passes176
93Pass accuracy %83
33.3Field tilt %est.39.8
5Fouls6
0Yellow cards0