Europa League · League phase MD7
Celtic
CET
Marseille
OM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celtic59%
Draw21%
Marseille20%
Expected goals
2.22 – 1.27
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.6%
- 1–18.8%
- 2–07.6%
- 1–07.4%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession46%
37%Territory30%
28%From set plays12%
0.07Chance quality0.07
3.5%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Celtic, 1 for Marseille. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.