Europa League · League phase MD7
Celtic
CET
Marseille
OM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celtic53%
Draw24%
Marseille23%
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.21
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–07.9%
- 1–26.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession64%
33%Territory41%
9%From set plays8%
0.08Chance quality0.07
3.0%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Celtic, 2 for Marseille. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Marseille
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.