Europa League · League phase MD5
Salzburg
SAL
Ararat Armenia
ARA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salzburg50%
Draw24%
Ararat Armenia26%
Expected goals
1.91 – 1.36
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–07.8%
- 2–06.8%
- 2–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
51%Possession49%
38%Territory37%
11%From set plays37%
0.08Chance quality0.05
4.0%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Salzburg, 2 for Ararat Armenia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Ararat Armenia
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.