Europa League · League phase MD5
Salzburg
SAL
Ararat Armenia
ARA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salzburg52%
Draw23%
Ararat Armenia26%
Expected goals
2.03 – 1.43
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.3%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–06.9%
- 2–26.7%
- 2–06.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession41%
31%Territory23%
6%From set plays55%
0.12Chance quality0.15
4.0%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Salzburg, 1 for Ararat Armenia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Salzburg
Ararat Armenia
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.