Europa League · League phase MD8
Salzburg
SAL
Crystal Palace
CRY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salzburg44%
Draw24%
Crystal Palace32%
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.53
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.4%
- 1–06.9%
- 2–26.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession53%
31%Territory47%
6%From set plays6%
0.12Chance quality0.13
4.0%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Salzburg, 1 for Crystal Palace. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Salzburg
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.