Europa League · League phase MD8
Salzburg
SAL
Crystal Palace
CRY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salzburg40%
Draw25%
Crystal Palace36%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.58
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.9%
- 1–06.9%
- 2–26.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
51%Possession46%
38%Territory38%
11%From set plays26%
0.08Chance quality0.09
4.0%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Salzburg, 2 for Crystal Palace. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.