Europa League · League phase MD6
Salzburg
SAL
Sparta Prague
SPA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salzburg43%
Draw24%
Sparta Prague33%
Expected goals
1.86 – 1.61
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.6%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.4%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–06.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession59%
31%Territory41%
6%From set plays42%
0.12Chance quality0.11
4.0%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Salzburg, 1 for Sparta Prague. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Salzburg
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.