Europa League · League phase MD6
Salzburg
SAL
Sparta Prague
SPA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salzburg41%
Draw25%
Sparta Prague33%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.47
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–07.7%
- 1–27.7%
- 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
51%Possession46%
38%Territory39%
11%From set plays32%
0.08Chance quality0.06
4.0%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Salzburg, 2 for Sparta Prague. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.