Europa League · League phase MD2
Salzburg
SAL
Milan
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salzburg49%
Draw24%
Milan27%
Expected goals
1.84 – 1.35
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–08.1%
- 2–06.8%
- 1–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession60%
31%Territory54%
6%From set plays38%
0.12Chance quality0.06
4.0%Directness2.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Salzburg, 1 for Milan. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Salzburg
Milan
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.