Europa League · League phase MD8
Dinamo Zagreb
DIN
Sturm Graz
STU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dinamo Zagreb58%
Draw25%
Sturm Graz16%
Expected goals
1.65 – 0.78
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.1%
- 2–011.8%
- 1–111.2%
- 0–09.7%
- 2–19.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
52%Possession33%
35%Territory34%
3%From set plays17%
0.16Chance quality0.10
5.9%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Dinamo Zagreb, 2 for Sturm Graz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sturm Graz
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.