Europa League · League phase MD5
Dinamo Zagreb
DIN
Bayer Leverkusen
LEV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dinamo Zagreb36%
Draw26%
Leverkusen39%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.55
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–18.1%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
52%Possession62%
35%Territory49%
3%From set plays9%
0.16Chance quality0.17
5.9%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Dinamo Zagreb, 2 for Leverkusen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.