Europa League · League phase MD5
Dinamo Zagreb
DIN
Bayer Leverkusen
LEV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dinamo Zagreb47%
Draw27%
Leverkusen27%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.16
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.7%
- 0–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
34%Possession56%
33%Territory44%
3%From set plays12%
0.04Chance quality0.14
6.5%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Dinamo Zagreb, 1 for Leverkusen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Dinamo Zagreb
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.