Europa League · League phase MD3
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
Hapoel Beer Sheva
HAP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Union St.Gilloise49%
Draw26%
Hapoel Beer Sheva26%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.19
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.7%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
51%Possession66%
39%Territory45%
26%From set plays36%
0.15Chance quality0.06
4.2%Directness1.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Union St.Gilloise, 1 for Hapoel Beer Sheva. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Union St.Gilloise
Hapoel Beer Sheva
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.