Europa League · League phase MD8
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
Celtic
CET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Union St.Gilloise39%
Draw24%
Celtic36%
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.69
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.8%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–27.9%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–06.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
51%Possession63%
39%Territory37%
26%From set plays28%
0.15Chance quality0.07
4.2%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Union St.Gilloise, 1 for Celtic. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Union St.Gilloise
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.