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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Europa League · League phase MD8

Union St.Gilloise

UNI

Celtic

CET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Union St.Gilloise47%
Draw24%
Celtic29%

Expected goals

1.83 – 1.43

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 1–07.6%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

48%Possession46%
49%Territory33%
34%From set plays9%
0.10Chance quality0.08
5.4%Directness3.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Union St.Gilloise, 2 for Celtic. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.