Europa League · League phase MD8
Viktoria Plzeň
VIK
Jagiellonia Białystok
JAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Viktoria Plzeň47%
Draw29%
Jagiellonia Białystok24%
Expected goals
1.38 – 0.95
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.8%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–010.9%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
49%Possession42%
36%Territory15%
39%From set plays10%
0.08Chance quality0.12
6.3%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Viktoria Plzeň, 1 for Jagiellonia Białystok. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Viktoria Plzeň
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Jagiellonia Białystok
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.