Europa League · League phase MD8
Viktoria Plzeň
VIK
Jagiellonia Białystok
JAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Viktoria Plzeň46%
Draw30%
Jagiellonia Białystok24%
Expected goals
1.32 – 0.89
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.8%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–012.2%
- 0–19.6%
- 2–08.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
49%Possession42%
38%Territory25%
64%From set plays7%
0.09Chance quality0.11
5.8%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Viktoria Plzeň, 2 for Jagiellonia Białystok. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Jagiellonia Białystok
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.