Europa League · League phase MD5
Viktoria Plzeň
VIK
Benfica
BEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Viktoria Plzeň37%
Draw30%
Benfica33%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.18
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–011.3%
- 0–110.5%
- 0–010.2%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
49%Possession59%
38%Territory53%
64%From set plays15%
0.09Chance quality0.13
5.8%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Viktoria Plzeň, 2 for Benfica. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.