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Europa League · League phase MD5

Viktoria Plzeň

VIK

Benfica

BEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Viktoria Plzeň42%
Draw30%
Benfica27%

Expected goals

1.27 – 0.98

Over 2.5

39%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1013.7%
  • 1113.2%
  • 0011.8%
  • 0110.2%
  • 218.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

49%Possession40%
36%Territory41%
39%From set plays8%
0.08Chance quality0.06
6.3%Directness10.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Viktoria Plzeň, 1 for Benfica. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.