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Europa League · League phase MD3

Ferencváros

FER

Torreense

TOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Ferencváros58%
Draw23%
Torreense19%

Expected goals

1.95 – 1.06

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.2%
  • 1010.2%
  • 2110.0%
  • 209.3%
  • 316.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

37%Possession33%
42%Territory32%
22%From set plays4%
0.07Chance quality0.13
4.7%Directness9.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Ferencváros, 1 for Torreense. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.