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Europa League · League phase MD5

Ferencváros

FER

NK Celje

NKC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Ferencváros61%
Draw22%
NK Celje17%

Expected goals

1.97 – 0.98

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1010.9%
  • 1110.1%
  • 2010.1%
  • 2110.0%
  • 316.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

37%Possession44%
42%Territory36%
22%From set plays0%
0.07Chance quality0.18
4.7%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Ferencváros, 1 for NK Celje. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.