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Europa League · League phase MD7

Ferencváros

FER

Juventus

JUV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Ferencváros52%
Draw24%
Juventus24%

Expected goals

1.83 – 1.22

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.7%
  • 219.7%
  • 109.2%
  • 207.8%
  • 126.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

37%Possession48%
42%Territory27%
22%From set plays
0.07Chance quality0.38
4.7%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Ferencváros, 1 for Juventus. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.