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Europa League · League phase MD7

Ferencváros

FER

Juventus

JUV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Ferencváros55%
Draw23%
Juventus22%

Expected goals

1.91 – 1.16

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.4%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 2–08.4%
  • 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

56%Possession54%
42%Territory51%
27%From set plays18%
0.17Chance quality0.12
4.0%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Ferencváros, 2 for Juventus. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.