Europa League · League phase MD5
Marseille
OM
Levski Sofia
LES
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Marseille42%
Draw26%
Levski Sofia32%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.34
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–27.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession50%
29%Territory32%
5%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.06
2.8%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Marseille, 1 for Levski Sofia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Levski Sofia
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.