Europa League · League phase MD5
Marseille
OM
Levski Sofia
LES
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Marseille38%
Draw29%
Levski Sofia33%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.21
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–110.0%
- 0–09.4%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
64%Possession50%
41%Territory21%
8%From set plays3%
0.07Chance quality0.17
3.3%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Marseille, 2 for Levski Sofia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Marseille
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.