Europa League · League phase MD6
Marseille
OM
Celta Vigo
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Marseille27%
Draw25%
Celta Vigo48%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.70
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–19.4%
- 0–27.2%
- 2–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession54%
30%Territory52%
12%From set plays58%
0.07Chance quality0.08
3.2%Directness2.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Marseille, 1 for Celta Vigo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Celta Vigo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.