Europa League · League phase MD6
Marseille
OM
Celta Vigo
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Marseille28%
Draw28%
Celta Vigo44%
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.46
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–111.2%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.6%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
64%Possession52%
41%Territory44%
8%From set plays11%
0.07Chance quality0.09
3.3%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Marseille, 2 for Celta Vigo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Marseille
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Celta Vigo
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.