Europa League · League phase MD8
Marseille
OM
Anderlecht
AND
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Marseille37%
Draw29%
Anderlecht34%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.21
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–110.3%
- 0–09.6%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
64%Possession57%
41%Territory48%
8%From set plays8%
0.07Chance quality0.09
3.3%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Marseille, 2 for Anderlecht. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Marseille
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.