Europa League · League phase MD2
Marseille
OM
Olympiacos
OLY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Marseille37%
Draw26%
Olympiacos37%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.51
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 0–17.9%
- 1–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession58%
29%Territory54%
5%From set plays59%
0.09Chance quality0.11
2.8%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Marseille, 1 for Olympiacos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.