Europa League · League phase MD4
Real Sociedad
RSO
Lyon
OL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Sociedad19%
Draw22%
Lyon58%
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.99
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 1–210.0%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–29.0%
- 1–36.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession54%
40%Territory30%
3%From set plays22%
0.14Chance quality0.15
3.9%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Real Sociedad, 2 for Lyon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.