Europa League · League phase MD7
Olympiacos
OLY
Hoffenheim
HOF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Olympiacos47%
Draw26%
Hoffenheim27%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.24
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.3%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession67%
54%Territory51%
59%From set plays19%
0.11Chance quality0.07
4.3%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Olympiacos, 1 for Hoffenheim. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hoffenheim
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.