Europa League · League phase MD3
Olympiacos
OLY
Sparta Prague
SPA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Olympiacos43%
Draw25%
Sparta Prague32%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.44
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–08.0%
- 1–27.5%
- 0–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession59%
54%Territory41%
59%From set plays42%
0.11Chance quality0.11
4.3%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Olympiacos, 1 for Sparta Prague. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.