Europa League · League phase MD5
Olympiacos
OLY
Milan
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Olympiacos44%
Draw27%
Milan29%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.20
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.1%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
52%Possession42%
36%Territory27%
31%From set plays41%
0.08Chance quality0.13
5.8%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Olympiacos, 2 for Milan. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.