Europa League · League phase MD5
Olympiacos
OLY
Milan
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Olympiacos48%
Draw26%
Milan27%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.20
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.5%
- 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession60%
54%Territory54%
59%From set plays38%
0.11Chance quality0.06
4.3%Directness2.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Olympiacos, 1 for Milan. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Milan
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.