Europa League · League phase MD4
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
Juventus
JUV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AZ Alkmaar34%
Draw26%
Juventus40%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.60
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–28.7%
- 0–18.0%
- 2–17.8%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession48%
42%Territory27%
8%From set plays—
0.12Chance quality0.38
1.8%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for AZ Alkmaar, 1 for Juventus. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
AZ Alkmaar
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.