Europa League · League phase MD5
Lyon
OL
Lillestrøm
LIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lyon76%
Draw15%
Lillestrøm9%
Expected goals
2.56 – 0.80
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.6%
- 3–09.5%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–19.1%
- 3–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
54%Possession46%
30%Territory36%
22%From set plays0%
0.15Chance quality0.14
5.2%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lyon, 2 for Lillestrøm. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lillestrøm
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.