Europa League · League phase MD5
Lyon
OL
Lillestrøm
LIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lyon77%
Draw15%
Lillestrøm8%
Expected goals
2.62 – 0.78
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.7%
- 3–09.9%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–18.9%
- 3–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession67%
23%Territory51%
31%From set plays38%
0.09Chance quality0.11
5.2%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Lyon, 1 for Lillestrøm. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lillestrøm
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.