Europa League · League phase MD6
Lyon
OL
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lyon73%
Draw17%
Union St.Gilloise10%
Expected goals
2.47 – 0.86
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.1%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–19.4%
- 3–08.8%
- 3–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession51%
23%Territory39%
31%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.15
5.2%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Lyon, 1 for Union St.Gilloise. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.