Europa League · League phase MD6
Milan
MIL
Sunderland
SUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Milan39%
Draw27%
Sunderland34%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.36
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–18.5%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
60%Possession45%
54%Territory25%
38%From set plays39%
0.06Chance quality0.15
2.3%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Milan, 1 for Sunderland. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Milan
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Sunderland
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.